Enjoyable weekend, follow up Ian next week
TAMPA, Fla. (WFLA) – It’s going to be a pleasant first weekend of fall in the Tampa Bay area. Temperatures for today and tomorrow will be in the upper 80s, nearing the 90s. Behind yesterday’s cold front, drier air is in place, making it less humid and reducing the chance of rain.
It will be more pleasant early in the morning and in the evening. If we see showers this weekend, they will be mostly south of I-4 in the evening.
We continue to track Tropical Storm Ian now. Since Saturday morning, he has been moving around the central Caribbean and starting to organize himself. This could have potentially significant impacts here in the Tampa Bay area for the middle of next week.
There are still question marks over exactly where the center of the storm will move, but there is good agreement that there will be a direct impact from a strengthening hurricane somewhere in Florida next week.
Forecasts call for the storm to emerge north of Cuba early Tuesday as a Category 2, possibly Category 3 hurricane. The storm will begin to turn northeast overnight Tuesday, Wednesday or Thursday and the timing of this shift will be critical in determining the exact impacts the Tampa Bay area will feel.
Should the storm take a more southerly path towards Naples, the impacts would be much less here in the Tampa Bay area. However, if it takes a more direct or northerly route, the impacts here in the Tampa Bay area could be significant.
Although it’s sunny this weekend, the Max Defender 8 weather team suggests you start putting your hurricane plan in place. Above all, make sure your hurricane kit is well stocked with food and water.
You must know your evacuation zone and follow evacuation orders if they are given next week.
If we see impacts, they will likely start late Tuesday and possibly last through Thursday depending on how fast the storm moves. Check back a few times a day this weekend and especially Monday for updates on Ian’s path and potential impacts.