NFL odds: Why Eagles vs Cowboys will be a high scoring track and field competition
By Sam Panayotovich
FOX Sports Betting Analyst
No one felt better than yours truly when Trevor Laurent threw a 25-yard touchdown pass in opening practice to give the Jacksonville Jaguars (+6) a 7-0 lead over the Denver Broncos.
Raaaaaawr. Unfortunately, Denver outscored the Jags 23-6 from that point on to cover the gap and keep us from celebrating a 3-1 weekend. I still can’t believe Teddy Bridgewater is 38-14 ATS as a starter in the NFL.
Anyway… Those picks are now 5-5-1 on the season, so I’m ready for NFL Week 3 and College Football Week 4. Here are some of the top top bets and trends in NFL and college football, with lines courtesy of FOX bet:
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Rutgers (+19 at FOX Bet) To Michigan
When Jim Harbaugh turns up the scoring on the modest Northern Illinois 63-10, it gives us some extra wiggle room the following week. Unlike NIU, Rutgers can attack and complete a forward pass. They have uniforms and everything.
Seriously, that number should be much closer to Michigan’s -14.5. The Wolverines (3-0 ATS) are better than voters and punters thought, which in a weird and roundabout way gives us bet value on Rutgers (also 3-0 ATS).
Greg Schiano has the Scarlet Knights on the rise with senior quarterback Noah Vedral running the show. Rutgers has more speed and skill than you might think, and the Knights can score enough to keep this one interesting.
Take the points.
Philadelphia Eagles To Dallas Cowboys: Over 51.5 on FOX Bet
Everyone who watched the Boys and Birds play in Week 1 practically ran to the betting window to bet their respective “Overs” in Week 2. So naturally Dallas and Los Angeles scored 37 points while. than Philadelphia and San Francisco combined for 28.
Sometimes these are the breaks in the game.
There were 827 offensive yards in the Chargers-Cowboys game, but some costly Justin Herbert interceptions – including one in the end zone – kept points off the board. I am convinced that the final score was an anomaly.
We saw the Eagles-49ers game play out the same way. Philadelphia recalled a touchdown in the first quarter because receiver Jalen Reagor went out of bounds before making the catch. If that wasn’t enough, Jake Elliott kicked off his San Francisco special teams wall placement attempt. The game turned into a slow crawl from there.
I expect Dallas or Philadelphia to set the pace early on with a touchdown to open things up. Both teams have too much speed and play too fast to play anything other than “Over”.
The Eagles also lost star passing shooter Brandon Graham for the season to an Achilles tendon injury.
If you’re unfamiliar, a two-team teaser lets you move one side or a total of six points, but you have to earn both legs to cash. I don’t particularly like putting -125 on a teaser, but I will in this situation, given the circumstances.
Let’s take Cleveland down by the 7 and 3 and New Orleans by the 3 and 7 to maximize our advantage. Thanks, Stanford Wong.
Chicago are a terribly trained football team that feasted on an even more terrible Cincinnati offensive line. And the game was still too close for comfort because Matt Nagy was going to Matt Nagy.
Word is, Andy Dalton will start at quarterback if he’s healthy, and that should tell you everything you need to know about the Bears.
Meanwhile, New Orleans looked great in Game 1 and abysmal in Game 2, and the truth is somewhere in the middle.
Expect the Saints’ defense to rebound in Foxboro against rookie quarterback Mac Jones. I love that the Saints overcome a touchdown with the tease.
Saints of New Orleans To New England Patriots: Under 43 points in total scored by both teams combined on FOX Bet
Bill Belichick has excellent defense and a rookie quarterback, and he’s certainly more confident in the former when it comes to play scripts.
Belichick made a Hall of Fame career tormenting erratic quarterbacks, and that song should stay the same against Saints signalman Jameis Winston.
The Patriots have been relatively conservative on offense – especially in the red zone – which keeps the ball on the ground and time flies. Expect New England to rely heavily on running and short passing play until Mac Jones’ practice wheels come loose.
This total is as low as it is for a reason.
Sam Panayotovich is a sports betting analyst for FOX Sports and NESN. He previously worked for WGN Radio, NBC Sports and VSiN. He will probably choose against your favorite team. Follow him on Twitter @spshoot.
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